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Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications*

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Ruin probability in the three-seasonal discrete-time risk model
Volume 2, Issue 4 (2015), pp. 421–441
Andrius Grigutis 1   Agneška Korvel   Jonas Šiaulys  

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https://doi.org/10.15559/15-MSTA45
Pub. online: 30 December 2015      Type: Research Article      Open accessOpen Access

1 The first author was supported by grant No. MIP-049/2014 from the Research Council of Lithuania.

Received
26 November 2015
Revised
14 December 2015
Accepted
14 December 2015
Published
30 December 2015

Abstract

This paper deals with the discrete-time risk model with nonidentically distributed claims. We suppose that the claims repeat with time periods of three units, that is, claim distributions coincide at times $\{1,4,7,\dots \}$, at times $\{2,5,8,\dots \}$, and at times $\{3,6,9,\dots \}$. We present the recursive formulas to calculate the finite-time and ultimate ruin probabilities. We illustrate the theoretical results by several numerical examples.

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Keywords
Inhomogeneous model three-seasonal model finite-time ruin probability ultimate ruin probability

MSC2010
91B30 60G50

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