In a continuous time nonlinear regression model the residual correlogram is considered as an estimator of the stationary Gaussian random noise covariance function. For this estimator the functional central limit theorem is proved in the space of continuous functions. The result obtained shows that the limiting sample continuous Gaussian random process coincides with the limiting process in the central limit theorem for standard correlogram of the random noise in the specified regression model.
We investigate the fractional Vasicek model described by the stochastic differential equation $d{X_{t}}=(\alpha -\beta {X_{t}})\hspace{0.1667em}dt+\gamma \hspace{0.1667em}d{B_{t}^{H}}$, ${X_{0}}={x_{0}}$, driven by the fractional Brownian motion ${B^{H}}$ with the known Hurst parameter $H\in (1/2,1)$. We study the maximum likelihood estimators for unknown parameters α and β in the non-ergodic case (when $\beta <0$) for arbitrary ${x_{0}}\in \mathbb{R}$, generalizing the result of Tanaka, Xiao and Yu (2019) for particular ${x_{0}}=\alpha /\beta $, derive their asymptotic distributions and prove their asymptotic independence.
We investigate the fractional Vasicek model described by the stochastic differential equation $d{X_{t}}=(\alpha -\beta {X_{t}})\hspace{0.1667em}dt+\gamma \hspace{0.1667em}d{B_{t}^{H}}$, ${X_{0}}={x_{0}}$, driven by the fractional Brownian motion ${B^{H}}$ with the known Hurst parameter $H\in (1/2,1)$. We study the maximum likelihood estimators for unknown parameters α and β in the non-ergodic case (when $\beta <0$) for arbitrary ${x_{0}}\in \mathbb{R}$, generalizing the result of Tanaka, Xiao and Yu (2019) for particular ${x_{0}}=\alpha /\beta $, derive their asymptotic distributions and prove their asymptotic independence.
In this paper we develop a general framework for quantifying how binary risk factors jointly influence a binary outcome. Our key result is an additive expansion of odds ratios as a sum of marginal effects and interaction terms of varying order. These odds ratio expansions are used for estimating the excess odds ratio, attributable proportion and synergy index for a case-control dataset by means of maximum likelihood from a logistic regression model. The confidence intervals associated with these estimates of joint effects and interaction of risk factors rely on the delta method. Our methodology is illustrated with a large Nordic meta dataset for multiple sclerosis. It combines four studies, with a total of 6265 cases and 8401 controls. It has three risk factors (smoking and two genetic factors) and a number of other confounding variables.
In this paper we develop a general framework for quantifying how binary risk factors jointly influence a binary outcome. Our key result is an additive expansion of odds ratios as a sum of marginal effects and interaction terms of varying order. These odds ratio expansions are used for estimating the excess odds ratio, attributable proportion and synergy index for a case-control dataset by means of maximum likelihood from a logistic regression model. The confidence intervals associated with these estimates of joint effects and interaction of risk factors rely on the delta method. Our methodology is illustrated with a large Nordic meta dataset for multiple sclerosis. It combines four studies, with a total of 6265 cases and 8401 controls. It has three risk factors (smoking and two genetic factors) and a number of other confounding variables.
The Galton–Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this paper, we illustrate the relationship between these two distributions when we consider the large deviation rate function (provided by Cramér’s theorem) for empirical means of i.i.d. random variables. We also consider the case with a random initial population. In the final part, we present large deviation results for sequences of estimators of the offspring mean based on i.i.d. replications of total progeny.
The Galton–Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this paper, we illustrate the relationship between these two distributions when we consider the large deviation rate function (provided by Cramér’s theorem) for empirical means of i.i.d. random variables. We also consider the case with a random initial population. In the final part, we present large deviation results for sequences of estimators of the offspring mean based on i.i.d. replications of total progeny.
with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where Y is some adapted stochastic process. We prove existence–uniqueness results for weak and strong solutions of this equation under various conditions on the process Y and the coefficients a, $\sigma _{1}$, and $\sigma _{2}$. Also, we study the strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for the unknown parameter θ. We suppose that Y is in turn a solution of some diffusion SDE. Several examples of the main equation and of the process Y are provided supplying the strong consistency.
with multiplicative stochastic volatility, where Y is some adapted stochastic process. We prove existence–uniqueness results for weak and strong solutions of this equation under various conditions on the process Y and the coefficients a, $\sigma _{1}$, and $\sigma _{2}$. Also, we study the strong consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for the unknown parameter θ. We suppose that Y is in turn a solution of some diffusion SDE. Several examples of the main equation and of the process Y are provided supplying the strong consistency.
We investigate large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood drift parameter estimator for Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion.